Energy Development Corporation (EDC) was incorporated and registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 5, 1976 to primarily engage in the business of exploring, developing and operating geothermal energy and other indigenous renewable energy projects in the Philippines, and utilizing geothermal energy and other indigenous renewable energy sources for electricity generation.
EDC became a subsidiary of Red Vulcan Holdings Corporation on November 29, 2007.
EDC’s geothermal power projects engage in two principal activities:
- The production of geothermal steam for use at EDC and its subsidiaries’ geothermal power plants;
- The generation and sale of electricity through those geothermal power plants pursuant to take-or-pay power offtake arrangements.
EDC operates commercial operations in four of its 14 geothermal service contract areas namely, Tongonan geothermal project; Southern Negros geothermal project; Bacon-Manito geothermal project; and Mt. Apo geothermal project.
EDC also operates a hydroelectric power plant through its 60%-owned subsidiary, First Gen Hydro Power Corporation. The Company likewise holds 11 wind energy service contracts covering areas in Ilocos Norte, Sorsogon, Iloilo, and Negros Occidental; and five solar energy service contracts covering areas in Ilocos Norte, Negros Occidental, North Cotabato, and Cebu.
In separate occasions in 2015, EDC received the feed-in-tariff certificate of compliance for the 150 MW Burgos wind energy project and 4 MW Burgos solar power project in Ilocos Norte.
The Company’s subsidiaries include:
- EDC Drillco Corporation
- EDC Geothermal Corp.
- EDC Chile Limitada
- EDC Holdings International Limited
- EDC Wind Energy Holdings, Inc.
- EDC Bright Solar Energy Holdings, Inc.
Sector Details:
- Sector: Industrial
- Subsector: Electricity, Energy, Power & Water
source: PSE Edge
Value Screen Scorecard
Stocks are scored based on Profitability & Growth, Financial Health, Quality, Dividends and Valuation. Each criterion in the list is scored based on financial data for a total of 100 points. Stocks are ranked from 1 to 5, 1 being the highest.
Read this post to get more information on how the value scorecard works.
Scoring Criteria:
- Rank # 1: Extremely good company
- Rank # 2: Good company
- Rank # 3: Average company
- Rank # 4: Needs further study and research to identify the company’s weaknesses
- Rank # 5: Risky company
Value Scorecard (1-25-2017 3Q2016)
Profitability & Growth
|
Criteria |
Values |
Score |
|---|---|---|
|
Criteria # 1: Market capitalization |
106,262,154,811 |
1 |
|
Criteria # 2: Profit margins (5-yr. Average) Gross profit margin Operating profit margin Net profit margin |
60.88% 30.98% 25.51% |
7 |
|
Criteria # 3: Net income consistently growing for the last 5 years |
-2 |
|
|
Criteria # 4: Revenue consistently growing for the last 5 years |
1 |
|
|
Criteria #5: Cash & equivalents consistently growing for the past 5 years |
1 |
|
|
Criteria # 6: Operating cash flow consistently growing for the past 5 years |
1 |
|
|
Criteria # 7: Earnings per share consistently growing for the past 5 years |
-2 |
|
|
Criteria # 8: 5-yr. EPS growth rate |
3.85% |
1 |
|
Criteria # 9: Return on equity 3-yr. average 5-yr. average Previous year’s ROE YoY growth |
20.34% 18.23% -43.13% |
4 |
|
Criteria # 10: Return on invested capital 5-yr. average |
10.40% |
1 |
|
TOTAL POINTS |
14/30 |
Financial Health
|
Criteria |
Values |
Score |
|---|---|---|
|
Criteria # 1: Debt settlement capacity Free cash flow Long-term debt Current ratio D/E ratio Interest coverage ratio Working capital to total debt ratio |
11,669,725,997 61,247,670,453 1.33 1.29 3.28 0.10 |
0 |
|
Criteria # 2: Cash to current assets Current Recent |
0.64 0.58 |
2 |
|
Criteria # 3: Inventory to current assets Current Recent |
0.11 0.12 |
4 |
|
Criteria # 4: Accounts receivable to current assets Current Recent |
0.17 0.22 |
4 |
|
Criteria # 5: Accounts payable to current assets Current Recent |
0.35 0.31 |
4 |
|
TOTAL POINTS |
14/25 |
Quality
|
Criteria |
Values |
Score |
|---|---|---|
|
Criteria # 1: Piotroski F-Score |
7 |
7 |
|
Criteria # 2: Altman Z-Score |
1.71 |
3 |
|
TOTAL POINTS |
7/20 |
Dividend Assessment
|
Criteria |
Values |
Score |
|---|---|---|
|
Criteria # 1: Dividend payout ratio |
30.43% |
5 |
|
Criteria # 2: Dividend yield |
2.47% |
3 |
|
TOTAL POINTS |
8/10 |
Valuation
|
Criteria |
Values |
Score |
|---|---|---|
|
Criteria # 1: PEGY ratio |
1.95 |
0 |
|
TOTAL POINTS |
0/15 |
Final Score & Ranking
|
Stock Rating |
Score |
|---|---|
Final Score |
43/100 |
Stock Ranking |
3 |
Piotroski F-Score
The Piotroski F-Score is a financial metric model that’s helpful in spotting turnaround businesses. For more information, you may read about it here.
Scoring Criteria:
- 7 to 9 points: Wonderful business
- 5 to 6 points: Average business
- 1 to 4 points: Weak business
Piotroski F-Score (1-25-2017 3Q2016)
|
Piotroski F-Score |
Values |
|---|---|
|
Profitability: |
|
|
1: Net income 2: Operating cash flow 3: Return on assets 4: Quality of earnings |
1 1 1 1 |
|
Leverage: |
|
|
5: Long-term debt vs. assets 6: Current ratio 7: Shares outstanding |
1 0 1 |
|
Operating efficiency: |
|
|
8: Gross margin 9: Asset turnover |
1 0 |
|
Piotroski F-Score |
7 |
Altman Z-Score
The Altman Z-Score is a bankruptcy prediction model that’s helpful in spotting low quality companies. More information about it can be found in this post here.
Scoring Criteria:
- Z > 2.99; “SAFE” Zone (Healthy business)
- Z < 1.81; “DISTRESS” Zone (Troubled business)
- 1.81 > Z > 2.99; “GREY” Zone (Warrants more investigation)
Altman Z-Score (1-25-2017 3Q2016)
|
Altman Z-Score |
Values |
|---|---|
|
X1 (Working capital / Total assets) |
0.0546 |
|
X2 (Retained earnings / Total assets) |
0.1945 |
|
X3 (EBIT / Total assets) |
0.1073 |
|
X4 (Market capitalization / Total liabilities) |
1.1702 |
|
X5 (Revenue / Total assets) |
0.2487 |
|
Altman Z-Score |
1.71 |
Estimated Growth Rates
Estimated growth rates are calculated using exponential chart trend line formula.
Estimated Growth Rates (3Q2016)
|
Growth Rate |
3-yr. (%) |
5-yr. (%) |
|---|---|---|
|
Revenue |
9.89% |
6.59% |
|
Net income |
14.30% |
5.06%* |
|
Earnings per share |
13.91% |
3.85%** |
|
Operating cash flow |
12.09% |
14.89% |
Net income for FY2011 is negative so it was not included in the growth calculation.*
Earnings per share for FY2011 is negative so it was not included in the growth calculation.**
Intrinsic Value Calculations
The figures and all other variables used in order to get the intrinsic value are listed in detail below for reference purposes so that cross-checking can be made to verify the values obtained.
Intrinsic Value Calculations (1-25-2017 3Q2016)
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital (WACC) Calculations
|
WACC Variables |
Values |
|---|---|
|
Risk free rate Stock beta Market risk premium Cost of equity (Re) |
4.321% 0.99 8.10% 12.34% |
|
Shares Price Market value of equity |
18,741,120,778 5.67 106,262,154,811 |
|
Interest rate Tax rate Cost of debt (Rd) |
6.23% 14.43% 5.33% |
|
Debt book value Adjustment Market value of debt |
72,720,369,817 1.20 87,264,443,780 |
|
Total capital Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) |
193,526,598,592 9.18% |
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Calculations
For more information regarding DCF analysis, you may read about it here.
|
DCF Variables |
Values |
|---|---|
|
Free cash flow |
11,669,725,997 |
|
Projected growth rate |
6.59% |
|
Shares outstanding (diluted) |
18,741,120,778 |
|
Discount rate (WACC) |
9.18% |
|
Perpetuity growth rate |
2.60% |
|
Margin of safety |
25% |
|
Intrinsic value per share |
4.73 |
|
Adjusted intrinsic value per share |
3.55 |
P/E Valuation Model
|
P/E Valuation Model Variables |
Values |
|---|---|
|
Input data: |
|
|
Earnings per share (TTM) P/E ratio (TTM) Growth rate Discount rate |
0.46 12.33 3.85% 9.18% |
|
Calculations: |
|
|
Year |
EPS x Growth |
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 |
0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.65 |
|
Value in 10 years |
7.97 |
|
Margin of safety |
25% |
|
Intrinsic value |
3.31 |
|
Adjusted intrinsic value |
2.48 |
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