If you glanced at Asian markets on Thursday, July 2, 2026, you would have seen one of the sharpest single-day selloffs of the year: South Korea’s KOSPI fell nearly 8%, Samsung Electronics dropped 9.1%, and SK Hynix tumbled almost 15%, wiping out roughly $290 billion in combined market value in a matter of hours. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell about 4% the same day. Then, on Friday, July 3, nearly all of it reversed — the KOSPI rebounded more than 5%, and the Nikkei surged over 1,000 points.
This article walks through the Asian stocks most likely to move between July 6 and July 10, 2026, why they made the list, and what to watch for in the days ahead. We’ll also explain, in plain English, why a single unconfirmed news report about a private U.S. company can move hundreds of billions of dollars in publicly traded Asian stocks — and why that doesn’t necessarily mean the underlying growth story is broken.
Quick Answer / TL;DR
Asian markets are still absorbing a violent two-day swing in AI-related chip stocks, triggered by reports that OpenAI might delay its IPO. Samsung Electronics reports preliminary Q2 earnings on July 7 — the week’s single most important event — as a real-time test of whether strong underlying chip demand (South Korea’s semiconductor exports were up 199.5% year-on-year in June) can outrun the valuation scare. Other stocks to watch include SK Hynix and TSMC (the broader AI-chip supply chain), SoftBank (the Japanese stock most directly tied to OpenAI), Advantest and Tokyo Electron (chip equipment makers), Tata Consultancy Services (opening India’s earnings season on July 9), BHP Group (an iron ore and China-stimulus proxy), Baidu (China AI and regulatory risk), and Reliance Industries (India’s Jio Platforms IPO process).
Why This Week Matters
The proximate trigger for the July 2 selloff was a reported delay to OpenAI’s planned initial public offering (IPO), which sparked a roughly 5% plunge in the U.S. Philadelphia Semiconductor Index and reignited a debate that has simmered for months: whether AI infrastructure spending is entering a slower, “less capital-intensive” phase after eighteen months of parabolic growth. Because OpenAI itself isn’t publicly traded, the reaction flowed straight into its listed suppliers and investors instead — chipmakers like Samsung and SK Hynix, equipment makers like Advantest and Tokyo Electron, and SoftBank Group, a major OpenAI investor.
The reversal on July 3 was just as dramatic: a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report (just 57,000 new jobs versus 110,000 expected) cooled fears of a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike and revived risk appetite, sending both the KOSPI and Nikkei sharply higher in a single session.
Here’s the important part for investors: the fundamentals underneath this volatility look genuinely strong. South Korea’s June exports topped $100 billion for the first time ever, up 70.9% year-on-year, with semiconductor exports alone surging 199.5% on AI server demand. Global DRAM and NAND memory prices are up more than 50% quarter-on-quarter. Taiwan’s TAIEX closed the first half of 2026 up nearly 60%, powered by record AI-chip export orders. That contrast — a one-day valuation panic against genuinely strong demand data — is exactly what makes this week’s Samsung earnings report so pivotal: it’s the first real, dated data point that could confirm either story.
This Week’s Asian Economic and Earnings Calendar
Samsung’s July 7 earnings and TCS’s July 9 report are the two confirmed, dated events inside this window with the clearest power to move markets. TSMC and SK Hynix report just outside the window (July 16 and July 29, respectively) but will drive positioning and analyst commentary throughout the week.
| Date | Event | Why It Matters | Importance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Jul 6 | TSMC formal quiet period begins (through Jul 15) | Reduced company commentary; analyst previews drive TSMC and TAIEX sentiment ahead of the Jul 16 print | Medium |
| Tue Jul 7 | Samsung Electronics preliminary Q2 2026 earnings | The week’s pivotal catalyst — a real-time test of the AI-chip demand story after the Jul 2 selloff | Very High |
| Wed Jul 8 | FOMC Minutes (Fed’s June 16–17 meeting) | First minutes under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh; parsed closely after a surprisingly weak June jobs report | High |
| Wed Jul 8 | Ongoing Bank of Japan / Ministry of Finance intervention watch | Yen near a four-decade low; officials have warned they are “ready to respond at any time” | High |
| Thu Jul 9 | Tata Consultancy Services Q1 FY27 results + interim dividend | Opens India’s new fiscal-year earnings season; sets the tone for the whole IT sector | High |
| Fri Jul 10 | China services PMI and continued manufacturing PMI commentary | Tests whether June’s bifurcated picture (strong exports, soft domestic demand) persists | Medium-High |
| Ongoing | SK Hynix analyst previews ahead of Jul 29 formal earnings | Preview commentary on HBM (high-bandwidth memory) pricing will move the stock daily | High |
Looking just past this window: TSMC reports July 16, SK Hynix reports July 29, and the Bank of Japan’s next policy meeting (July 30–31) could bring a rate hike given three straight years of 5%+ wage growth.
Top 10 Asian Stocks to Watch This Week
| Rank | Company | Ticker | Country | Trend | Primary Catalyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsung Electronics | 005930 | South Korea | Bullish | Jul 7 earnings test AI-chip demand after the selloff |
| 2 | SK Hynix | 000660 | South Korea | Bullish | Hardest-hit stock in Jul 2 rout; HBM leadership ahead of Jul 29 print |
| 3 | TSMC | TSM/2330.TW | Taiwan | Bullish | Quiet period through Jul 15 ahead of Jul 16 earnings; record export orders |
| 4 | SoftBank Group | 9984 | Japan | Volatile | Direct exposure to OpenAI IPO-delay headlines |
| 5 | Advantest Corp. | 6857 | Japan | Volatile | AI/HBM chip-test equipment supplier; fell ~6% in the rout |
| 6 | Tokyo Electron | 8035 | Japan | Volatile | Chip-equipment maker; fell 4.4% alongside Advantest |
| 7 | Tata Consultancy Services | TCS | India | Bullish | Jul 9 earnings open India’s FY27 season |
| 8 | BHP Group | BHP | Australia | Bullish | Iron ore at multi-quarter highs on China stimulus hints |
| 9 | Baidu Inc. | 9888.HK/BIDU | China/HK | Neutral | EGM record date; AI monetization vs. US designation risk |
| 10 | Reliance Industries | RELIANCE | India | Bullish | Jio Platforms IPO process; AI data-center partnership |
1. Samsung Electronics (005930)
Samsung reports preliminary Q2 2026 earnings on July 7 — four trading days after shares fell 9.1% in the July 2 selloff. Brokerages have sharply revised memory-chip forecasts higher, with DRAM and NAND prices up more than 50% quarter-on-quarter on AI server demand, and some analysts expect a surprise potentially larger than U.S. rival Micron’s recent beat.
The bull case: A blowout, HBM-driven earnings beat validates the “AI demand is still strong” thesis and triggers a durable relief rally across Korean tech, especially since Samsung and SK Hynix together now make up roughly half of the KOSPI’s total index weight.
The bear case: Any guidance caution about 2027 spending plans or memory pricing could reignite the same AI-valuation fears that drove the July 2 crash — and because the stock carries so much index weight, the swings would likely be outsized in either direction.
Watch for: Samsung’s preliminary guidance and any commentary on 2027 capital spending plans.
2. SK Hynix (000660)
SK Hynix fell almost 15% on July 2 — the single largest move of any major Asian tech stock that day — before rebounding sharply. Its formal Q2 earnings aren’t due until July 29, but analyst preview notes on HBM (high-bandwidth memory, a specialized, faster chip used in AI servers) pricing will move the stock daily this week.
The bull case: Continued HBM dominance and record Korean semiconductor export data (June exports up 199.5% year-on-year) reassert themselves once the initial panic fades, supporting a stock still seen as the market’s highest-conviction AI-memory play.
The bear case: As the highest-beta pure play on the AI-capex debate, SK Hynix is also the stock most exposed if U.S. chip-sector weakness returns — any renewed Wall Street selloff would likely hit this name hardest of all.
Watch for: HBM pricing commentary and any analyst revisions ahead of the July 29 formal print.
3. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) (TSM / 2330.TW)
TSMC entered its formal “quiet period” on July 6, meaning the company limits public comment until its July 16 earnings call, where it has already guided for roughly 32% year-on-year revenue growth. Shares are up 55% in the first half of 2026 as Taiwan’s export orders climbed 49.5% year-on-year on AI-chip demand.
The bull case: Continued record export-order momentum, and bullish sell-side previews (some see Taiwan’s TAIEX index reaching 50,000), extend gains into the July 16 print even without fresh company commentary this week.
The bear case: Despite superior fundamentals, TSMC could see its valuation compressed purely on sentiment if the AI-capex worries that hit Samsung and SK Hynix spread further — and Taiwan is reportedly considering tighter AI-chip export rules to China, a live policy risk.
Watch for: Analyst pre-earnings notes and any peer read-through from Samsung’s July 7 report, since TSMC itself won’t comment publicly this week.
4. SoftBank Group (9984)
SoftBank fell more than 5% on July 2 on reports that OpenAI — in which SoftBank holds a major stake — might delay its IPO, then reversed higher the same day as speculation swirled around OpenAI’s actual listing plans. SoftBank is one of the most direct listed proxies for OpenAI and broader AI-infrastructure sentiment anywhere in the world.
The bull case: Any clarification that the IPO-delay reports were overstated, or positive news on OpenAI’s funding or listing path, could trigger a sharp relief rally, as it did on July 3.
The bear case: Confirmation of a genuine OpenAI IPO delay, or broader signs that AI-infrastructure investors are pulling back, would hit SoftBank disproportionately given how concentrated its bet on this single company is.
Watch for: Any fresh reporting on OpenAI’s IPO timeline — this stock can move immediately on headlines alone.
5. Advantest Corporation (6857)
Advantest, which makes AI and HBM chip-testing equipment for Samsung, SK Hynix, and other memory makers, fell roughly 6% in the July 2 selloff — among the hardest-hit Nikkei constituents, directly tracking the U.S. semiconductor index’s plunge.
The bull case: Strong Samsung Q2 results and continued HBM capacity-expansion news would reaffirm demand for test equipment and support a recovery in line with the broader Nikkei rebound.
The bear case: As a high-multiple equipment supplier, Advantest tends to see outsized moves — in both directions — whenever AI-capex jitters resurface.
Watch for: Samsung’s July 7 earnings and any HBM capacity-expansion announcements from Korean memory makers.
6. Tokyo Electron (8035)
Tokyo Electron fell 4.4% in the July 2 selloff alongside Advantest, as chip-equipment names bore the brunt of the global AI-infrastructure valuation scare.
The bull case: Reassurance from Samsung’s July 7 print and continued strong Taiwan export-order data would support a recovery toward pre-selloff levels.
The bear case: A “second leg down” in the global chip-equipment trade remains possible if AI-capex-sustainability concerns prove durable rather than a one-day scare.
Watch for: Read-through from U.S. semiconductor-equipment peers and any China export-control policy news.
7. Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) (TCS)
TCS reports Q1 FY27 results on July 9 — the first major print of India’s new fiscal-year earnings season, alongside an expected interim dividend announcement. IT is the heaviest-weighted sector on India’s Nifty 50 index, making this report a key swing factor for the broader market.
The bull case: Resilient revenue growth and upbeat commentary on AI-services demand, in line with global cloud and AI spending trends, could trigger a broad re-rating across India’s IT sector.
The bear case: Continued softness in discretionary U.S. and European IT spending, or cautious guidance for the new fiscal year, could disappoint investors who have already pushed shares higher into the print.
Watch for: TCS’s commentary on AI-services demand and FY27 revenue guidance, and read-through to Infosys, Wipro, and HCLTech.
8. BHP Group (BHP)
Iron ore prices have climbed to multi-quarter highs on hints of Chinese infrastructure stimulus, with BHP shares jumping and Australia’s materials sector rallying sharply in recent sessions. China accounts for roughly 70% of global seaborne iron ore trade, making BHP a direct read on Beijing’s policy signals.
The bull case: If confirmed Chinese stimulus materializes and sustains iron ore prices above the psychologically important $100-a-tonne level, BHP could generate substantial free cash flow.
The bear case: “Stimulus hope” has repeatedly proven to be just hope in recent quarters — the ASX and iron ore prices have reversed lower before when Chinese stimulus failed to materialize as expected, and expanding global mine supply could pressure prices later in 2026.
Watch for: Any concrete Chinese stimulus announcement, and iron ore price action through the week.
9. Baidu Inc. (9888.HK / BIDU)
Baidu’s AI business now represents roughly 52% of total company revenue, making it one of the purest China AI-monetization plays. A July 17 record date for an extraordinary shareholder meeting means corporate-action news flow builds through this week, alongside broader Hong Kong tech volatility after reports the Pentagon flagged Baidu-sector peers (Alibaba, BYD) alongside firms allegedly linked to the Chinese military.
The bull case: Continued strength in Baidu’s AI Cloud and AI-search monetization, combined with a broader rotation into Chinese tech on the Hang Seng index, could drive outperformance.
The bear case: Escalating U.S.-China tech-designation headlines could trigger renewed selling across Hong Kong-listed Chinese tech stocks, Baidu included.
Watch for: Any fresh U.S.-China tech-designation headlines and shareholder-meeting news flow ahead of the July 17 record date.
10. Reliance Industries / Jio Platforms (RELIANCE)
Jio Platforms, Reliance’s telecom arm, filed its Draft Red Herring Prospectus with India’s securities regulator for an IPO of up to 27 crore equity shares — a live, multi-week process generating continuous news flow. Jio counts more than 524 million subscribers and posted profit after tax above ₹30,000 crore in its latest fiscal year.
The bull case: Continued positive news flow on the Jio IPO process, plus a newly announced AI data-center partnership with Meta, could support a sum-of-the-parts re-rating of the wider Reliance group.
The bear case: Shares are already down roughly 19% from their 52-week high; any delay or regulatory friction in the IPO process, or broader Nifty weakness tied to global AI-sentiment contagion, could pressure the stock further.
Watch for: Jio IPO process updates and any further detail on the Meta AI data-center partnership.
Track This Week’s Wildest Chip Stock Moves
Samsung testing its post-selloff rebound, SK Hynix and TSMC in focus, the yen near a 40-year low — follow it all as it happens with free charts, watchlists, and price alerts.
Open Free Charts on TradingView →Country Snapshot
- Japan: Neutral-to-bullish with extreme headline sensitivity. The yen near a four-decade low against the dollar keeps currency-intervention risk elevated, while chip-equipment names (Advantest, Tokyo Electron) and SoftBank remain the most volatile large-caps.
- South Korea: Highly volatile after the July 2–3 round trip, but Neutral-to-bullish on a one-week view. Samsung’s July 7 print is the single most important scheduled catalyst in the entire region this week.
- Taiwan: Bullish, though with elevated volatility risk. TSMC’s quiet period (July 6–15) means positioning and analyst previews, not fresh company news, will drive the TAIEX this week.
- China: Neutral. Strong export-linked manufacturing data contrasts with softer domestic demand signals, while U.S.-China tech-designation headlines remain a live risk for Hong Kong-listed names.
- India: Neutral-to-bullish. TCS’s July 9 report opens a heavy Q1 FY27 earnings season, with IT-sector performance the key swing factor for the Nifty 50.
- Australia: Neutral-to-bullish, largely a China-proxy trade this week via iron ore prices, which remain at multi-quarter highs on stimulus hints.
- Hong Kong: Neutral-to-bullish, with rotation into beaten-down Chinese consumer and financial names, even as Chinese tech giants face renewed U.S. designation-risk headlines.
- Singapore: Neutral-to-bullish and comparatively quiet domestically, with its major banks sensitive mainly to the FOMC minutes and broader regional rate expectations.
Sector Snapshot
- Semiconductors: Extreme volatility, structurally bullish but with a live near-term valuation scare. Samsung’s July 7 print and SK Hynix preview commentary are this week’s central catalysts.
- Artificial Intelligence: Highly volatile, unresolved bull/bear debate. The July 2 selloff directly tests the “AI capex is slowing” thesis against genuinely strong underlying demand data.
- Financials: A relative safe haven this week — Singapore’s major banks and Indian private banks are both supported by steady rates and credit-growth optimism.
- Mining: Bullish-to-neutral. Iron ore near multi-quarter highs on China stimulus hints, though 2026 price forecasts diverge sharply by bank.
- Internet & E-commerce: Neutral, bifurcated. Chinese internet names show genuine AI-driven revenue growth but face renewed U.S. designation-risk headlines.
- Electric Vehicles: Neutral-to-bearish sentiment overhang for Chinese EV makers amid geopolitical headline risk, while Korean automakers rebounded strongly as a lower-risk rotation trade.
Biggest Risks to Watch
- Semiconductor demand (Very High): The single dominant risk of the week — the July 2 selloff and July 3 rebound directly test whether AI-driven chip demand can sustain current valuations, with Samsung’s July 7 print as the key data point.
- AI spending (Very High): Directly tied to the OpenAI IPO-delay reports that triggered this week’s volatility; any further news on OpenAI’s listing plans will move markets immediately.
- Currency volatility (High): USD/JPY is near a four-decade weak point for the yen, with explicit, repeated Japanese intervention warnings and genuine two-way risk of a sudden reversal.
Trading the Yen This Week?
USD/JPY is sitting near a four-decade low with intervention risk running high. Track currency moves in real time with tools built for active traders.
Explore Pepperstone →- US-China relations (High): A live proposed U.S. tariff on Chinese goods and Pentagon designation-related headlines on Chinese tech names keep this a daily headline risk.
- China stimulus expectations (Medium-High): Iron ore and Australian mining shares have repeatedly rallied on stimulus hints and given back gains when concrete measures underwhelm.
- BOJ policy (Medium-High, anticipatory): The next Bank of Japan meeting isn’t until July 30–31, but confirmed strong wage growth keeps rate-hike expectations elevated and drives positioning all week.
Best Bullish and Bearish Trade Ideas This Week
Top 5 Bullish Asian Stocks
| Company | Ticker | Confidence | Catalyst | Key Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSMC | TSM/2330.TW | 76% | Record export orders; quiet-period positioning ahead of Jul 16 print | AI-valuation contagion from Korea could compress multiples |
| Samsung Electronics | 005930 | 74% | Jul 7 print expected to show sharp HBM-driven improvement | Guidance disappointment could reignite the Jul 2-style selloff |
| SK Hynix | 000660 | 72% | Record Korean chip exports and HBM dominance ahead of Jul 29 print | Highest-beta pure play on any renewed global chip rout |
| BHP Group | BHP | 66% | Iron ore at multi-quarter highs on China stimulus hints | China stimulus has repeatedly under-delivered relative to hopes |
| Tata Consultancy Services | TCS | 64% | Jul 9 results open India’s earnings season | Global IT spending softness could disappoint elevated positioning |
Top 5 Bearish Asian Stocks
| Company | Ticker | Confidence | Catalyst | Key Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advantest Corp. | 6857 | 58% | Fell ~6% in Jul 2 selloff as a high-multiple equipment name | Strong Samsung/SK Hynix guidance could trigger a fast reversal |
| Tokyo Electron | 8035 | 56% | Fell 4.4% in Jul 2 selloff; exposed to a second-leg equipment slide | Same reversal risk if AI-capex fears prove overstated |
| SoftBank Group | 9984 | 55% | Direct exposure to OpenAI IPO-delay reports | Extremely headline-sensitive; could reverse sharply on good news |
| BYD Co. | 1211.HK/BYDDY | 54% | Reported Pentagon designation-related headlines | Strong EV fundamentals could support a sharp bounce |
| Baidu Inc. | 9888.HK/BIDU | 52% | Same US-China tech-designation overhang; EGM news flow | AI monetization progress could reassert itself at any point |
Key Takeaways
- South Korea’s KOSPI fell nearly 8% on July 2, with Samsung down 9.1% and SK Hynix down almost 15%, before both rebounded sharply the next day.
- Samsung Electronics reports preliminary Q2 2026 earnings on July 7 — the week’s single most important scheduled catalyst.
- South Korea’s June exports topped $100 billion for the first time, up 70.9% year-on-year, with semiconductor exports up 199.5%.
- TSMC entered its formal quiet period on July 6, ahead of its July 16 earnings call where it has guided for roughly 32% revenue growth.
- TCS reports Q1 FY27 results on July 9, opening India’s new fiscal-year earnings season.
- The Japanese yen is trading near a four-decade low, with officials warning intervention could come “at any time.”
- SoftBank Group is the Asian stock most directly tied to the OpenAI IPO-delay reports that triggered this week’s volatility.
- China’s official manufacturing data beat forecasts on export strength, even as domestic demand signals stayed soft.
- Iron ore prices are at multi-quarter highs on hints of Chinese stimulus, supporting Australian miners like BHP.
- The FOMC minutes on July 8 are the week’s key global catalyst, arriving after a surprisingly weak U.S. jobs report.
FAQ
Why did Samsung and SK Hynix stock crash in July 2026?
Both stocks fell sharply on July 2 after reports that OpenAI might delay its planned IPO triggered a broader selloff in U.S. semiconductor stocks, reigniting concerns about whether AI-infrastructure spending is slowing. Samsung fell 9.1% and SK Hynix fell almost 15% before both rebounded the next day.
Is the AI chip rally over?
It’s genuinely unclear, and this week’s Samsung earnings (July 7) are one of the first real tests. Underlying demand data — South Korea’s semiconductor exports were up 199.5% year-on-year in June — suggests the growth story remains intact, but valuations had run up sharply beforehand, and a single earnings disappointment could reignite the selloff.
Why did TSMC enter a quiet period?
A “quiet period” is a company’s self-imposed pause on public comment ahead of reporting earnings. TSMC entered its quiet period on July 6, ahead of its July 16 earnings call, meaning this week’s trading in Taiwan will be driven by analyst previews rather than fresh company statements.
What is TCS reporting on July 9, 2026?
Tata Consultancy Services reports Q1 FY27 results (its first quarter of the new Indian fiscal year), alongside an expected interim dividend announcement. As India’s largest IT services company, its results typically set the tone for the whole sector.
Why is the Japanese yen so weak in 2026?
The yen has weakened to roughly 160–163 per U.S. dollar, its lowest level in about four decades, reflecting a wide interest-rate gap between Japan and other major economies. Japan’s finance minister has repeatedly warned that authorities are “ready to respond at any time,” raising the risk of currency intervention.
What is HBM memory, and why does it matter for Samsung and SK Hynix?
HBM (high-bandwidth memory) is a specialized, faster type of memory chip used heavily in AI servers. South Korean chipmakers currently dominate its production, which is why surging AI demand flows so directly into Samsung’s and SK Hynix’s earnings.
What is Reliance’s Jio Platforms IPO?
Jio Platforms, the telecom arm of Reliance Industries, has filed paperwork with India’s securities regulator for an initial public offering of up to 27 crore equity shares. It’s a live, multi-week process that’s been generating continuous news flow.
Is SoftBank a good stock to buy right now?
SoftBank is exceptionally sensitive to headlines about OpenAI, in which it holds a major stake, making it one of the more volatile large-cap Asian stocks this week. This combination of high headline sensitivity and uncertain near-term direction means both upside and downside risk are elevated — this is not financial advice, and readers should do their own research or consult a financial adviser.
Related Reading
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Top 10 Best UK Stocks to Watch This Week (June 29 – July 3, 2026)
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Conclusion
The week of July 6–10, 2026 is a reminder that a sharp stock-price move and a change in business fundamentals are not the same thing. A single reported headline about OpenAI’s IPO plans erased roughly $290 billion in Samsung and SK Hynix market value in one session — and much of it came back the very next day. Samsung’s July 7 earnings, TSMC’s quiet-period positioning ahead of July 16, TCS’s July 9 report opening India’s earnings season, and the FOMC minutes on July 8 all give readers dated, evidence-based ways to judge whether this week’s volatility reflects a genuine shift in the AI-infrastructure growth story or simply a stress test that strong fundamentals ultimately pass. Either way, this is a week where a single earnings print or a single headline could move billions of dollars in Asian equity value within hours, making disciplined, stock-specific attention more valuable than broad index-level bets.
This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research or speak with a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.
Disclosure: The content on this page was produced with AI writing assistance under the editorial direction of a licensed Electrical Engineering practitioner and certified investor in different markets with over a decade of experience. All articles are reviewed and approved by the author before publication.